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Thin Film Technology share in solar panel market to double by 2013
2009-11-12

Research firm iSuppli forecasts, in a new report out this week, that the thin-film technology will more than double its share, from its current share of around 15% to reach a share of 31% in 2013, of the solar market by 2013 because of the large cost advantage. Thin film technology is already significantly cheaper than traditional silicon solar cells.

The price of solar panels has fallen dramatically since 2008 primarily driven by the many new Chinese suppliers, who have much lower production costs than American and European suppliers. The trend has been further strengthened by the considerable drop in silicon prices which led to the production, at the margin, becoming increasingly more dependent on the price of labor.

iSuppli predicts that 2010 will be a tough year for solar panel manufacturers with continued intense price pressure. The price of panels based on thin film technology is believed to fall by 18% in 2010 to $1.4/watt while the price of conventional silicon panels is predicted to fall by 20% to $2/watt in 2010.

The US giant First Solar is already producing at a price lower than $0.9/watt which is less than half of the cost of the competitors using silicon technology.
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